BoSox 2025 NFL Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

September 5th

Chiefs/Chargers over 46 (-110), 1*

I am considering the Cowboys tomorrow. Maybe a Super Bowl hangover game. Dallas could be motivated to price people wrong who have basically written them off after the Parsons trade. Divisional game. I haven’t gotten there yet, I’m considering it though. I will post some futures for the season shortly.

 

[BoSox04]

Futures

Steelers under 8.5 (+105), 1*
Broncos under 10.5 (-145), 1*
Broncos under 9.5 (+115), 1*
Bears over 7.5 (-140), 1*
Falcons over 7.5 (-140), 1*
49ers over 10.5 (+105), 1*
Buccaneers under 9.5 (+100), 1*
Patriots under 8.5 (-110), 1*

Jaguars to win AFC South (+270), 1*
Falcons to win NFC South (+230), 1*
49ers to win NFC West (+155), 1*
Packers to win NFC North (+165), 1*

49ers to win Super Bowl (+2000), .5*
49ers to win NFC (+1000), .5*
Packers to win NFC (+600), 1*
Packers to win Super Bowl (+1200), 1*

Raheem Morris Coach of the Year (+3000), .5*
Liam Cohen Coach of the Year (+1200), .5*
Nico Collins Offensive Player of the Year (+2000), .5*

I think it’s pretty clear the teams I like to go above expectations this season. I was going to make the same bets on the Packers before they got Parsons. The odds were better, but they also didn’t have a top three pass rusher in the league. It is kind of interesting to think about if I would have rather had those odds without Parsons, or lower odds with him. At this point I’m not betting them for value, I’m betting them because I believe they are that good. Before the trade, I thought there was some value. Anyway, that’s every future I have bet this season. I will be back tomorrow with any bets I make on the opener. GL

 

[BoSox04]

September 4th

Cowboys +8.5 (-112), 1*

I think this spread is a little too high. Divisional game, week one. Cowboys can certainly play the nobody believes in us card and wanting to prove all the “haters” wrong. I think their offense is going to have success tonight. I don’t believe they pull out the win, but I expect this to be a game in the fourth quarter. I lean over if I had to play the total. If I add any props, I will do that an hour or two before kickoff. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Saquon Barkley over 96.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*

I like Miles Sanders anytime TD if you are looking for someone further down the board. Dallas only has two active running backs tonight as the rookie Blue is inactive. I think Sanders will get his fair share of snaps including in the red zone. He could be the passing down back throughout the game. Even if it’s garbage time, he is going to be out there in situations where Blue would have gotten some reps. I would have loved 10/1 which is what the odds were before Blue was ruled inactive. But +550 is fair based on the current circumstances. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-1/YTD: 1-1, -0.1

Weird game. After that first half, it seemed like we were getting a shootout with all the big names going over their props. Then we got three total second half points with a weather delay mixed in. Just the over for me right now in the Chiefs game. I lean the Chargers, maybe I will add them tomorrow.

 

[BoSox04]

September 5th

Chargers/Chiefs over 46 (-110), 1*
Xavier Worthy over 61.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*

I still like over 47.5, but hopefully you bet the over before it got to that number. I think -3 is the correct spread so I don’t see a bet to be made there. I think Worthy having his yardage number under 70 in this game with no Rice is too low. GL

 

[indiana]

B. Sox......BOL with your action tonight buddy....
have a great season......indy

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-1/YTD: 2-2, -0.25

I’m done with props lol. 2-0 on sides and totals. I will stay in my lane for now. Pretty unlucky that Kelce trucked Worthy and knocked him out of the game on the third play. Back Sunday with some bets.

 

[BoSox04]

September 7th

Patriots/Raiders over 44 (-110), 1*

This is my favorite total of the week, including the Chiefs over that we hit last night. The Patriots are going to be without their best player in Christian Gonzalez. He would have been able to guard Meyers 1 on 1 leaving a couple of his teammates to double Bowers. It will be a little harder to stop Vegas through the air. I like the Patriots defensive line and I like Spillane, but Jeanty is going to get his yards. On the flip side, the Raiders defense has one elite player and not much else. New England should be able to throw on this secondary, especially if they are having success running the ball. This is a big game for both these teams as the Raiders or Patriots could be the sneaky last wildcard team if things go well. Both these coaches want to get that first win with their new team out of the way. I expect both coordinators to go into their bag of tricks if need be. This is an important game if you think about it and I could absolutely see a 28-24 type game.

I am going to have a bet on the Falcons in some form or fashion. Same with the Ravens. There are some good teaser options which I might get involved with. I like teasing the Falcons, Dolphins, Lions and Seahawks up to +7.5-8.5. I don’t mind teasing Washington down to a pick. My second favorite total of the week is the Texans/Rams under. I don’t really know why that total is 43.5. I think it should be like 40. Stafford is a wildcard. Stroud regressed last year. The Texans second and third receivers are rookies from Iowa State. I like both these defenses. I will certainly be adding this under unless I can figure out why it’s not several points lower. I will update in the morning.

 

[BoSox04]

Six Point Teaser: Dolphins +7.5 & Falcons +7.5 (-130), 1*
Falcons ML (+102), 1*
Texans/Rams under 43.5 (-110), 1*

I forgot that sportsbooks have gone up on their teaser prices. A six point teaser used to cost -110. Then last year, most places had it -115 or -120. Now this year, a six point teaser forces the bettor to lay -135 odds on DK. I’m sure other sportsbooks are somewhere between -125 and -135. Bottom line is the sportsbooks were losing money on teasers so they shifted the odds two years in a row to get to a point where they won’t lose money anymore. Now bettors are going to start betting three team teasers which is plus money. Sportsbooks are fine with that because it’s obviously harder to hit a three team teaser.

Anyway, that’s my teaser rant. Not sure how many of those I will bet this year. I am going to add the Ravens later to my card. There’s no rush on that bet, it’s not like they are going to be -3 if I don’t act soon. There are a couple other bets I think I’m going to add in the next hour. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Lions +1.5 (-115), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Ravens -1.5 (-110), 1*

If this total gets to 51, I will bet the under. With the exception of the Steelers game, this has been an under kind of day. It seems like the defenses are ahead right now, except in the game with the lowest total of the day. I think Baltimore’s defense in particular in this game could be a top five unit at the end of the season. I believe Baltimore is the better team and Vegas agrees, which is why the Ravens are still the favorites despite this game being in Buffalo. Maybe a little revenge for Lamar after Allen and the Bills eliminated his team. Allen also beat him for the MVP. Give me the Ravens tonight.

 

[BoSox04]

Ravens/Bills under 51.5 (-115), 1*
Derrick Henry over 84.5 rush yards (-110), 1*

This is 51.5 at DK. If you can only get 51, that’s fine. I think Baltimore wins this game and Henry does his thing to ice the game in the fourth quarter. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-6/YTD: 4-8, -5.05

September 8th

Bears ML (EV), 1*

Lousy week one, just like I had in cfb. Hopefully I can bounce back in week two like I did in cfb. I thought Atlanta was going to be the heartbreaker. Then the Ravens game happened. It’s ok, long way to go. Let’s close out week one with a winner. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 0-1/YTD: 4-9, -6.05

I deserved better this week. Wish things went differently, plenty of time to right the ship.

 

[BoSox04]

September 11th

Commanders +3 (EV), 1*
Commanders/Packers under 49 (-110), 1*

This is the message that I prepared and then never hit send. I’m at a family birthday dinner and got sidetracked. You might be able to get both these numbers or better as the game goes on.

I bet these games so I am posting what I bet and counting it towards my record. GL if you bet a live spread or total.

 

[tryteasers]

This is the message that I prepared and then never hit send. I’m at a family birthday dinner and got sidetracked. You might be able to get both these numbers or better as the game goes on.

I bet these games so I am posting what I bet and counting it towards my record. GL if you bet a live spread or total.

I think we all have done that before don’t sweat it.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-1/YTD: 5-10, -6.05

I am a little concerned with the Commanders. I am going to monitor their week 3 game closely. They are home with extra rest against Vegas, who are not expected to be a top ten defense this season. If Washington doesn’t show marked improvement in that game, I think there will be cause for concern at that point. Perhaps Daniels is going to take a step back in year two just like CJ Stroud did. It’s too early to make any determinations. Still, their offense is lacking something right now and they need that side of the ball to lead the way.

 

[BoSox04]

September 14th

Browns/Ravens over 45.5 (-110), 1*
Jets +6.5 (-115), 1*
49ers -3 (-110), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Patriots +8.5 & Colts +8.5 (-130), 1*

46.5 is ok in the Ravens game. +6 is ok for the Jets. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Broncos/Colts over 43.5 (-108), 1*
Chiefs +1.5 (-112), 1*

GL